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From 25% to 45% Close Rates: The Estimate Follow-Up Playbook

AF
Alina Farhat
December 8, 2025
From 25% to 45% Close Rates: The Estimate Follow-Up Playbook

Most shops follow up once. Maybe twice. Then give up.

You spend $50-150 getting that lead. Tech spends 30-60 minutes on site giving the estimate. Then nothing.

The average close rate on HVAC replacement estimates is 20-30%. Shops with systematic follow-up hit 40-50%.

Why Estimates Go Cold

Price shock
Didn't expect $8,000 for a system
Comparison shopping
Getting two or three quotes
Bad timing
Money not available yet
Decision paralysis
Too many options
Forgot
Life happened

Notice "don't want it" isn't on the list. Most unsold estimates are real demand waiting to be converted.

The Sequence

Day 3: Value email
  • Remind what problem you're solving
  • Financing options
  • One testimonial
Day 7: Check-in text
"Hi [Name], any questions on the estimate? Happy to hop on a quick call."
Day 21: Last email
Subject: "Should I close your file?"

Creates urgency. Triggers procrastinators.

The Math

Example: Shop doing 40 estimates/month

Before (25% close)
Jobs closed10
Avg ticket$8,500
Revenue$85,000

$51,000 more per month from 6 additional closes. Same lead volume. Same tech time. Just follow-up.

Start This Week

  1. Pull unsold estimates from last 90 days
  2. Set up 5-touch sequence in your CRM
  3. Assign someone to make Day 14 calls
  4. Track close rate weekly

You're sitting on unconverted estimates right now. They're not lost. They're waiting for someone to ask again.

Ready to stop missing calls?

See how June handles calls for HVAC contractors like you—with your FSM software, your pricing, your voice.

Book a demo